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Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators

Reichlin, L., Giannone, D., Simonelli, S.
Date Published: 01/10/2009

Abstract:
This paper assesses the role of qualitative surveys for the early estimation of GDP in the Euro Area in a model-based automated procedure which exploits the timeliness of their release. The analysis is conducted using both an historical evaluation and a real-time case study on the current conjuncture.

Citation:
Reichlin, L., Giannone, D., Simonelli, S., “Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators”, National Institute Economic Review, vol. 210, 2009.

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